Warsh FOMC Reality: Market Easing Expectations Dead
Chair Warsh cut the FOMC statement to 130 words, removing forward guidance. With 2026 rates at 3.8%, traders must now read raw data.
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Inflation overshoot: Why the June 2026 rate hike matters
The June 2026 rate hike to 1.00% marks a 31-year high. I break down why delayed action triggered this inflation overshoot and what it means for your FX...
Vikram Nair
14 min read
EUR/CAD support: Where Fibonacci meets the 100 SMA
EUR/CAD bulls defend a key zone where the 100 SMA aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci, but RSI data at 26.04 warns of hidden risks.
Vikram Nair
9 min read
Corecore inflation in Japan drops to 2.1%: BOJ trap
Japan's corecore inflation fell to 2.1% in May, masking sticky 2.7% headline rates. I explain why this gap forces the BOJ to pause.
Sofia Mendes
12 min read
Verbal intervention fails as USD/JPY hits 161.9
USD/JPY slid to 161.9 proving talk fails. Flash PMI hit 52.5, yet input costs surge. Vikram analyzes why markets ignore rhetoric.
Vikram Nair
12 min read
USD/JPY surge: 38 bps of tightening priced in
The Fed dot plot now signals 38 bps of tightening. I break down why USD/JPY volatility is just starting and where sellers step in.
Sofia Mendes
12 min read
Inflation data: Why PCE beats CPI for Fed calls
With a 35% recession risk by 2026, I explain why Core PCE's chainweighting matters more than CPI for your trades.
Sofia Mendes
13 min read
GBP/CAD Range: Watch 1.8800 Resistance Close
GBP/CAD tests 1.8800 resistance as UK politics shift. See why a weekly close above this level targets 1.9098 next.
Vikram Nair
13 min read
USD/JPY Market Ignores Decisive Action Warnings
Nonbank liquidity drives USD/JPY past Japan's $73 billion defense line. See why the market views 161.99 as a green light, not a ceiling.
Marcus Halloran
13 min read
GBP/CHF Support: Why 1.0612 Zone Matters Now
The SNB's 0% rate decision hit the franc. I'm watching the 1.0612 triple support zone for a bullish reversal on the 4-hour chart.
Vikram Nair
12 min read
Warsh Testimony: Inflation at 4.2% Risks
Warsh faces July 14 scrutiny with inflation at 4.2%. I analyze how statutory rules limit his options and what silence means for your trades.
Marcus Halloran
13 min read
USDJPY Targets 161.92 After Hawkish Fed Shift
USDJPY shattered 160.71 as the 2-year yield jumped 17 basis points. I map the path to 161.92 while Fed hawkishness overrides intervention fears.
Marcus Halloran
9 min read