Inflation overshoot: Why the June 2026 rate hike matters
The June 2026 rate hike to 1.00% marks a 31-year high. I break down why delayed action triggered this inflation overshoot and what it means for your FX...
Vikram Nair
14 min readArticles by Vikram Nair
Vikram Nair
14 min read
EUR/CAD support: Where Fibonacci meets the 100 SMA
EUR/CAD bulls defend a key zone where the 100 SMA aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci, but RSI data at 26.04 warns of hidden risks.
Vikram Nair
9 min read
Verbal intervention fails as USD/JPY hits 161.9
USD/JPY slid to 161.9 proving talk fails. Flash PMI hit 52.5, yet input costs surge. Vikram analyzes why markets ignore rhetoric.
Vikram Nair
12 min read
GBP/CAD Range: Watch 1.8800 Resistance Close
GBP/CAD tests 1.8800 resistance as UK politics shift. See why a weekly close above this level targets 1.9098 next.
Vikram Nair
13 min read
GBP/CHF Support: Why 1.0612 Zone Matters Now
The SNB's 0% rate decision hit the franc. I'm watching the 1.0612 triple support zone for a bullish reversal on the 4-hour chart.
Vikram Nair
12 min read
Trading bias beats rigid price predictions daily
Stop making binary bets. Learn why 70% of traders fail by confusing rigid predictions with flexible trading bias that adapts to price.
Vikram Nair
14 min read
Inflation mandate locks Fed out: 14 of 19 see zero cuts
Warsh prioritizes the 2% target as 14 of 19 FOMC participants see zero cuts. Markets react sharply to this rigid price stability stance.
Vikram Nair
13 min read
Flash PMI Data: Why 35% Recession Odds Clash With Growth
Goldman sees 2.8% growth while J.P. Morgan flags 35% recession risk. I break down what this Flash PMI split means for your EM trades.
Vikram Nair
15 min read
Fed rate hold: Why Warsh ignores the 3.8% dot plot
CITIC predicts the Fed holds rates at 3.5% despite the 3.8% dot plot. Warsh prioritizes politics over hawks as guidance vanishes.
Vikram Nair
14 min read
Fed rate hike odds shift as Warsh targets 3.8%
Warsh pushes rates to 3.8% while J.P. Morgan flags a 35% recession chance. We decode what this split means for your EM pairs.
Vikram Nair
15 min read
Williams %R Oversold? Don't Buy GBP/USD Without This
With 20 bearish indicators against 6 bullish, the Williams %R reading of 86.35 warns against blind optimism on GBP/USD right now.
Vikram Nair
13 min read
MACD Signal on EUR/USD: Mean Reversion Play, Not a Reversal
EUR/USD bounced off 1.1500, but the MACD stays below zero. I explain why this is a risky mean reversion play, not a true trend reversal yet.
Vikram Nair
14 min read
AUD/CAD Range: Why 9950 Resistance Matters Now
AUD/CAD eyes a retest of .9950 resistance. I break down why this liquidity zone often traps traders before the next real move happens.
Vikram Nair
13 min read