Warsh FOMC Reality: Market Easing Expectations Dead
Chair Warsh cut the FOMC statement to 130 words, removing forward guidance. With 2026 rates at 3.8%, traders must now read raw data.
Sofia Mendes
13 min readArticles by Sofia Mendes
Sofia Mendes
13 min read
Corecore inflation in Japan drops to 2.1%: BOJ trap
Japan's corecore inflation fell to 2.1% in May, masking sticky 2.7% headline rates. I explain why this gap forces the BOJ to pause.
Sofia Mendes
12 min read
USD/JPY surge: 38 bps of tightening priced in
The Fed dot plot now signals 38 bps of tightening. I break down why USD/JPY volatility is just starting and where sellers step in.
Sofia Mendes
12 min read
Inflation data: Why PCE beats CPI for Fed calls
With a 35% recession risk by 2026, I explain why Core PCE's chainweighting matters more than CPI for your trades.
Sofia Mendes
13 min read
Rate signals: Decoding Beijing's 2% trading band
I analyze how the 6.7659 fix anchors China's $3.342T reserves. Learn why this daily rate overrides pure market supply and demand today.
Sofia Mendes
12 min read
Fed rate policy: Warsh's dovish rhetoric trap
Traders price 20 basis points of hikes while the Fed holds at 3.65%. I analyze Warsh's dovish rhetoric masking this rigid stance.
Sofia Mendes
10 min read
Yuan devaluation claims fail as data shows 28-month high
IMF undervaluation claims of 15-16% ignore reality. The yuan just hit a 28-month high, proving devaluation narratives false for traders.
Sofia Mendes
11 min read
USD/CNY rate: Why 6.7752 matters today
The PBOC set the rate at 6.7752. With $9.6T daily volume, this fixing signals state intent over pure market forces.
Sofia Mendes
10 min read
Trend check: GBP/AUD needs hotter inflation data
GBP/AUD bounced off Fibonacci support, but Chinese retail sales fell 0.6%. See how UK CPI data could break the stalemate before the BoE meets.
Sofia Mendes
10 min read
Inflation Rise: Why Services Costs Stall Fed
Goolsbee flags 4.2% inflation as services rise. We analyze how sticky costs and energy spikes delay rate cuts for traders.
Sofia Mendes
15 min read
What Is a CFD? Leverage, Margin and Risk Explained
A CFD lets you trade price moves without owning the asset. How leverage, margin, swaps and stops really work — and why 82% of retail accounts lose money.
Sofia Mendes
13 min read
EURUSD Stuck Below 1.16287: A Range, Not a Reversal
EUR/USD is ranging between 1.15937 and 1.1622, capped by the 1.16287 midpoint. The levels that matter, the breakout trap above 1.1644, and how to trade it into
Sofia Mendes
10 min read
Trimmed mean signals rates stay high till 2027
Trimmed mean inflation could peak at 3.7% by mid-2026. Fuel drops hide sticky core costs keeping RBA rates restrictive.
Sofia Mendes
10 min read
Consumer confidence index: Why 80.4 signals risk
NZ consumer confidence crashed to 80.4 in Q2 2026. I break down what this historic low means for your forex and CFD trades.
Sofia Mendes
14 min read
Gold demand shifts as central banks buy 59 tonnes
Goldman Sachs reports central banks bought 59 tonnes of gold in April, signaling a permanent shift away from cyclical trading patterns.
Sofia Mendes
13 min read